I'm a guitar player that's still very much a noob when it comes to playing keys, but I've always used 61 key keyboards and controllers, and I'd never go down any smaller.
Even with my relatively simple synth playing, I can get a really low octave going and a higher lead part going together. With a 49, I'd be limited to the higher of the two notes in the low octave pair if that makes sense, losing all that girth and grind you get from the low notes. Or I'd have to play the lead part an octave lower, which is often not what you want if you want the excitement of that higher octave.
I honestly feel like 49 key controllers are really not compact in any way, so might as well move on up to 61. 61 is the sweet spot, even for a noob.